NBA FanDuel 10th February Post-Mortem

Yesterday was revenge night with many players going against their former team. There also were many teams that were short-handed due to the trade deadline. Let’s take a look at the winning lineup in a large FanDuel tournament to see how they constructed it and to see how our lineup fared as well.

PG Jose Calderon CLE $4500

Calderon seemed like a fairly obvious play heading into Friday’s slate after the Cavs traded about half of their roster and inserted the aging point guard back into the starting lineup. He wasn’t as popular as I thought he might be as his ownership in tournaments came in around 10 percent. Despite the starting nod, Calderon, who was mentioned in Friday’s article, failed to reach value as he scored 11 points and pulled down 5 rebounds on his way to 19.5 Fanduel points.

PG Tyler Dorsey ATL $3600

Dorsey made some sense as a correlation play given all the value on the Cavaliers last night. Someone was going to have to produce for the Hawks to keep the game relatively within reach and Dorsey at $3600 was cheap enough to fit in. He didn’t have a big game by any means, but you’ll take it when a guy close to minimum price scores 14 real life points.

SG Victor Oladipo IND $9700

Oladipo had a ceiling game in Boston against a Celtics team that played an overtime game the night before. Oladipo went off for 35 points, 10 rebounds, two assists and five steals on his way to 60 Fanduel points in the Pacers 97-91 victory. He went overlooked on Friday’s slate as his ownership in tournaments came in at about 5 percent.

SG Kyle Korver CLE $3600

Korver was mentioned in Friday’s article and he didn’t disappoint. With Cleveland’s roster momentarily depleted, Korver was counted on for the majority of backcourt minutes against his old team in Atlanta. He made seven 3-pointers on his way to 38.6 Fanduel points, making him one of the best values on the entire slate.

SF LeBron James CLE $11500

If you faded LeBron last night, I’m not sure NBA DFS is for you. Many expected to see a reenergized James after Cleveland’s active trade deadline and they weren’t disappointed as despite his high ownership percentage he was one of the top scorers on the slate. He looked to get his teammates involved as he dropped 19 assists on his way to a triple-double and 61.9 Fanduel points.

SF Jimmy Butler MIN $9800

Butler was mentioned in Friday’s article, but went somewhat overlooked on Friday as his ownership in tournaments was around 30 percent. This seemed like an obvious spot to use Butler, a fantasy monster of late, against his former team in Chicago. He delivered in a big way as he had 38 points, seven rebounds, five assists, and four steals on his way to 64.9 Fanduel points.

PF Blake Griffin DET $9200

Griffin was also facing his former team on Friday, but while he’s had a positive impact on his new Pistons teammates Griffin hasn’t been hitting value himself for Detroit and that was the case again here. It’s bound to happen sooner rather than later as he was highly inefficient on his paint touches against the Clippers and still posted 19 points, eight rebounds, six assists, and one block on his way to 39.6 Fanduel points.

PF Jeff Green CLE $3900

Green was the chalkiest value play on the slate as Cleveland’s No. 2 option behind LeBron with ownership in tournaments coming in at 40-50 percent. He posted 24 points, three assists, and three rebounds on his way to 35.1 Fanduel points. Green can be frustrating to roster, but he was integral to the Cavaliers stack here.

C Robin Lopez CHI $4100

The Chicago frontcourt has opened up a bit with Nicola Mirotic traded to New Orleans, but Lopez still went almost completely overlooked as his ownership was at one percent in this tournament. Lopez did his usual dirty work around the basket scoring 19 points, pulling down three rebounds and blocking a shot on his way to 21.6 Fanduel points.

 

Revenge Night for February 9th DraftKings NBA Best Plays

It’s Revenge Night in the NBA on Friday! ESPN’s NBA coverage begins with a Clippers-Pistons showdown between two teams that pulled off the shocking Blake Griffin blockbuster a week ago, then concludes with Jimmy Butler’s emotional return to Chicago in the nightcap. Butler and Griffin headline today’s plays, but they’re not the only players with revenge on the mind. We’ll bolster our lineup with bargain options playing extra Friday minutes as the dust settles on their teams’ big trade deadline moves.

SG/SF Jimmy Butler MIN $9.6K vs Chicago

How long do you think Jimmy Butler’s had this one circled? Butler is coming home to Chicago after a messy divorce last summer, and it’s sure to be an emotional return with Butler wanting to remind the home fans of exactly what they gave away on NBA draft night. Butler is averaging 47 fantasy ppg over his last ten and 55 in each of the past two games, averaging a ridiculous 33/7/7 with two steals in that pair of games. He leads our Revenge Night efforts.

PF/C Blake Griffin DET $9.1K vs Los Angeles Clippers

Griffin gets his shot at the Clippers on ESPN, and you can bet he’ll be ready. Only seven months ago, the Clippers fake retired Blake’s jersey and called him a “Clipper for life,” then turned around and stabbed him in the back and sent him packing to Detroit. Andre Drummond has been a beast for Detroit lately, but it’s Griffin’s turn against the Clips. Griffin is averaging 45 fppg during the Pistons five-game winning streak with an impressive 6 assists per game as Detroit unleashes Point Blake.

PG/SF Ben Simmons PHI $8.5K vs New Orleans

Simmons is mini-LeBron in fantasy, and he tends to show up most when he has a great matchup. Friday fits against a Pelicans team that can’t guard point guards to save their lives, and a questionable Joel Embiid may leave Simmons doing extra work. He’s had at least 36 fantasy points in seven of his last eight games and looks like a triple-double threat Friday.

SF/PF Tobias Harris LAC $6.7K vs Detroit

Don’t forget about the other key guy in the Blake Griffin trade! Tobias Harris was a great soldier for Detroit and a borderline All-Star, and he’ll want to remind them what they traded away, too. Harris is shouldering more of the scoring load in Los Angeles and gets a plus matchup against a Pistons team that shouldn’t have James Ennis ready to go yet.

SG/SF Joe Ingles UTA $5.1K vs Charlotte

Ingles is about to see a much bigger role in Utah after the departure of Joe Johnson and Rodney Hood. He’ll need to create more on offense, so that should see an uptick in his four assists per game, and Utah will need him to take a few more shots too. That’s even truer Friday night since Jae Crowder probably won’t be ready to play yet.

SG/SF Kyle Korver CLE $3.8K vs Atlanta

There’s a bit of faint revenge game still for Kyle Korver out there against the Hawks, but only because LeBron is so petty. Korver always seems to bring his best against the Hawks, and LeBron makes sure he gets plenty of looks. He’s averaged 17ppg with 13 threes in three matchups against them this year, and he should see extra playing time as Cleveland’s new troops aren’t quite ready to hit the hardwood.

SF Royce O’Neale UTA $3.7K vs Charlotte

The pride of the Denver Pioneers gets a chance to shine Friday, soaking up minutes with Joe Johnson and Rodney Hood traded away and Jae Crowder probably not ready to play. He’s played 20 minutes ten times this rookie season and averages nine points, seven boards, three assists, and a steal in those games with 1.5 threes. He should get up some shots for a team that needs scoring and could be a bargain 25 or 30 fantasy points.

PG Jose Calderon CLE $3.2K vs Atlanta

The Cavs blew up their roster and don’t expect to have George Hill, Rodney Hood, or Jordan Clarkson ready to play Friday night. That leaves Jose Calderon as the only real point guard and minutes are minutes. Calderon should get a handful of assists and threes and be a bargain for his near minimum price.

 

Timberwolves Lead February 7th DraftKings NBA Best Plays

The big game tonight is on ESPN with the Timberwolves visiting Cavs team that continues to flounder. The Cavs are 6-13 since Christmas and blew a monster lead last night in Orlando to get run off the court in the second half, and Cleveland has been even worse in nationally televised games lately. The old LeBron would’ve answered all this talk with a huge game, but against Jimmy Butler and while he’s checked out waiting for some trades, he may not answer that call. Time to play some Wolves.

SG/SF Jimmy Butler MIN $9.5K vs Cleveland

If we’re going to focus on Timberwolves, then Butler better be in the lineup. He’s been an under-the-radar MVP candidate with a tidy 22/5/5/2 line on the season, and he’s had at least 40 fantasy points in six straight games, raising his season average above 40 for the first time. He’ll spend much of his time guarding LeBron but should find little resistance at the other end, and this could be a chance for a handful of points on lazy-pass steals too.

PF/C LaMarcus Aldridge SAS $8.4K vs Phoenix

The Suns are worst in the league against power forwards, and against most everything else for that matter. Aldridge is an All-Star for a reason. He’s carried the Spurs offense most of the season, and he is over 30 points in four of his last ten games and over 45 fantasy points in five of them. He should flirt with 30 points and double-digit boards and have his way with Marquese Chriss and Dragan Bender.

SG/SF Andrew Wiggins MIN $6.1K vs Cleveland

Andrew Wiggins vs the Cavs alert!! Wiggins was a number one pick for Cleveland but never got to wear the uniform after being traded for Kevin Love, and he always reminds the Cavs of their mistake when he plays them. Wiggins averages over 29 points in seven games against Cleveland, and tonight he gets them on national TV coming off a disheartening back-to-back against the Magic. The Cavs are laughably bad right now and their defense is ripe for the picking. Wiggins will be ready.

SG/SF Lance Stephenson IND $5.8K vs New Orleans

This looks like one of the day’s highest scoring games, but Indiana could be missing three starters. Darren Collison is out and both Oladipo and Turner are questionable. That could mean a throwback Lance game, and Stephenson is averaging a 14/9/5 the last two games. It won’t be pretty or efficient, but it’ll be entertaining and Lance is Born Ready for big moments like this.

SG/SF Josh Jackson PHX $5.7K vs San Antonio

Josh Jackson struggled to find his way the first 50 or so games of the season, but he has really gotten it going of late. The rookie is averaging 16 points and seven boards, and he’s adding a steal, block, assist, and three per game to fill up the box score. He’ll have his hands full against San Antonio, but with Devin Booker sidelined and in a rare Phoenix national TV home spotlight, this could be his chance to remind viewers why he was such a hot pick on draft night.

SF/PF DeMarre Carroll BKN $5.5K vs Detroit

Brooklyn is incredibly thin right now with both Randae Hollis-Jefferson and Caris LeVert nursing injuries, so Carroll should get plenty of playing of time and shots. He had five threes and 21 points last night and plays a Detroit defense that is surprisingly soft against forwards.

PG Cory Joseph IND $4.6 vs New Orleans

We’ll play both Lance and CoJo to soak up all those extra Pacers minutes and shots with the usual starters ailing. Joseph will start with Collison sidelined and, though he hasn’t had many big games recently, he could break out against a Pelicans team among the worst in the league against point guards.

SF/PF Anthony Tolliver DET $4.3K vs Brooklyn

Detroit’s bigs are thin with Willie Reed suspended, and Andre Drummond is not at 100% with a sprained ankle. That should mean a lot of minutes for Tolliver, maybe even as the lone big where he could give rookie Jarrett Allen fits around the perimeter. Tolliver is averaging 26.8 fppg over his last five games, with over three makes per game behind the arc. When he gets heavy minutes like he did in two of those games, he tends to grab a handful of assists too.

NBA FanDuel February 3rd Post-Mortem

Yesterday was a busy day for the NBA on FanDuel!

Let’s take a look at a championship-winning lineup from yesterday to see how they got to the top of the leaderboard. We’ll also use this as a chance to see how well yesterday’s advice article fared.

PG Tomas Satoransky WAS $5200

Point guard seemed to be the thinnest position going into Saturday’s main slate and it
paid off to take some risks at the position. New Orleans’ Rajon Rondo was a chalk play
coming off of a big last outing and he busted with a mere 17.1 Fanduel points.
Satoransky, who was recommended in Saturday’s article and cost only $600 more than
Rondo on Fanduel, had 19 points, six assists, three rebounds, and two steals on his
way to 36.6 Fanduel points in the Wizards 115-98 victory in Orlando. Despite
Satoransky’s increased role with John Wall injured, his ownership percentage was
under 10 percent in tournaments Saturday.

PG Ricky Rubio UTA $5900

Rubio wasn’t mentioned in Saturday’s article, but it’s easy to see why as a matchup
between the Spurs and the Jazz isn’t usually the place to look for upside on a big slate.
Utah was able to score 120 points in the victory, however, as Rubio, a contrarian play,
had 34 points, nine assists, and three rebounds on his way to 47.1 Fanduel points.

SG James Harden HOU $11500

Harden was mentioned in Saturday’s article and of course he was the chalk with the
Rockets banged up and playing the Cavaliers on national television. Even though
Harden is ultimately part of the winning lineup, he failed to reach value as he was held
to 16 points, nine assists, six rebounds, and two steals on his way to 38.7 Fanduel
points. On a slate where there weren’t many other options to spend-up on, most
decided against fading Harden as he was over 60 percent owned in tournaments.

SG Bradley Beal WAS $9200

Beal was also mentioned in Saturday’s article and for good reason as he came in
averaging over 50 fantasy points in his last four games playing without John Wall. He
failed to hit 50 Fanduel points on Saturday, but his 45.6 Fanduel points almost got him
to 5X and that was enough on a night where spending up was a little difficult.

SF Jimmy Butler MIN $8900

Jimmy Butler has been a fantasy monster pretty much all season long, so why not fire
him up in a high scoring game the Timberwolves figured to win against New Orleans?
Butler delivered yet again as his 54.1 Fanduel points were the most on this winning
lineup.

SF Gerald Green HOU $4600

Green was mentioned in Saturday’s article due to the Rockets having injuries, which
opened up more opportunity for Green. He put up 17 points and three rebounds, but
also added three blocks and one steal on his way to 31.6 Fanduel points.

PF Nicola Mirotic NO $6100

Mirotic was the play of the night as he put up 18 points, 12 rebounds, two assists, four
steals, and one block on his way to 48.4 Fanduel points in his first game with the New
Orleans Pelicans. At just 10 percent ownership in tournaments, he proved to be a
difference-maker in your lineups.

PF Kelly Olynyk MIA $4700

Olynyk’s game as a big who can stretch the floor seems to play well against the Pistons
as he had over 40 Fanduel points in their last meeting and followed that up with 37.1
Fanduel points on Saturday. He was somewhat of an obvious play given his matchup,
role and price, but to see him over 60 percent owned in tournaments was still a mild
surprise.

C Bam Adebayo MIA $3800

Adebayo was mentioned in Saturday’s article as one of the top bargains on the entire
slate. Coming off of a big game on Friday, he figured to see more opportunities once
again in the absence of Hassan Whiteside. As a super-chalk play, Adebayo failed to
repeat his performance or even hit value against the Pistons as he had four points, five
rebounds, and a block on his way to 13 Fanduel points. He was simply no match for
Andre Drummond on the boards and wasn’t involved much offensively.

The Rockets Headline February 3rd DraftKings NBA Best Plays

Saturday is a reminder to pay attention to both current matchups and schedule. Golden State looks awfully tempting, with a huge 230 over/under from Vegas projecting them to score a league-high 118 points against a high-paced leaky Denver defense. But the Warriors will have arrived in Denver from Sacramento only around 15 hours before the game, and Denver is 20-7 at home, so we’ll avoid the Warriors. Instead, let’s stack some Rockets.

Houston plays the Saturday prime time game on ABC against a terrible Cavs defense, and this one could get ugly. The Rockets are missing some key players: Ariza is out, Gordon is questionable, and Chris Paul is playing through a groin injury. That could present some huge opportunity for other bargain Rockets. Let’s load up.

PG/SG James Harden HOU $11.6K vs Cleveland

If we’re going in on the Rockets, then it has to start with the likely MVP at the top. The Beard has been absolutely on fire, averaging 51 fantasy points a game over the last five including an absurd 103-point effort in the league’s first ever 60-point triple-double. With the Rockets so banged up, it’ll be up to Harden to put on another show in prime time on national TV in Cleveland. This could be his chance to settle the MVP debate for good this year.

SG Bradley Beal WAS $9.1K vs Orlando

New All-Star Bradley Beal has been the biggest beneficiary of the John Wall injury. He’s the guy for the Wizards now on offense, and he’s seen an uptick in both his scoring and his assisting. Beal is averaging a LeBron-esque 27/7/7 over the past four games, a stretch that includes 13 threes and 7 steals. He’s over 50 fantasy points a game in that stretch and gets a dream matchup against the terrible Magic guards.

SG/SF Andrew Wiggins MIN $5.7K vs New Orleans

Wiggins has been terrible lately and is at his lowest price of the season, so this is a vote on regression and matchup. Wiggins is too talented a player to keep slumping, and Saturday against the Pelicans could be the chance to break out against a team that struggles to defend wings and gives up the second most total points in the NBA. Minnesota is projected to score 115 by Vegas, second highest total of the night.

SG/SF Gerald Green HOU $5.0K vs Cleveland

Time to go back to the well on Houston in a game that should see plenty of Rockets points and possibly some garbage time. Both of those things should mean plenty of minutes for Green, who’s already played 30 minutes twice in a row with Ariza and Gordon out. He should score double digit points and grab a handful of boards, and he’s going to jack a bunch of threes so there’s big upside here.

PF/C Dirk Nowitzki DAL $5.0K vs Sacramento

Dirk just keeps on chugging along, and he’s shooting and making more threes than ever this season. The Kings are worst in the NBA in both field goal and three point field goal percentage allowed, letting guys get anywhere they want. Dirk is not what he once was but he can certainly get to his spot and he could have a throwback game against this bad defense.

PG/SG Tomas Satoransky WAS $4.8K vs Orlando

Satoransky is another beneficiary of the John Wall injury. He’s starting at point guard without Wall and is averaging 24 fantasy points a game during those three games with a tidy 8/4/6 line and four steals. Orlando is bad just about everywhere on defense, but especially against guards. He’s a bargain play.

PF/C Ryan Anderson HOU $4.5K vs Cleveland

One last dip into the Rockets pool for Ryan Anderson, one of the forgotten names in Houston this year. Anderson is producing well on a per-minute basis but has seen his playing time dip, but Houston has had to turn back to him recently with all the injuries and Anderson is getting his scoring going again. He’s the exact sort of player Cleveland is too lazy to chase around the perimeter, and he’s a high-variance guy with big upside if he starts hitting his shots.

PF/C Bam Adebayo MIA $3.8K vs Detroit

Adebayo was awesome Friday night against Joel Embiid. He had the best game of his career with 15 points, 13 rebounds, and a career-high 6 assists for 41.75 fantasy points. He did that without Hassan Whiteside, and Whiteside is questionable again Saturday. The Pistons defense doesn’t seem to have settled in yet with Blake Griffin and has been bad against centers. Adebayo may be the biggest bargain of the night if Whiteside is out again.

DraftKings Value Plays, Picks, and Sleepers for the Super Bowl

With only two teams to work with for the Super Bowl, the DraftKings main slate features four offensive and two defensive flex positions. With unique pricing, multiple flex slots, and a reduced player pool, roster construction will be the key to unlocking this week. With that said, here are a few intriguing Super Bowl plays.  

Tom Brady – $15,500

Despite the highest salary on the slate, Tom Brady should anchor lineups this weekend. Projected to be the highest scoring player overall, Brady faces an Eagles’ defense that allowed the fewest rushing yards to running backs but the 15th most passing yards to quarterbacks. The natural pass-funnel of the Eagles’ defense figures to be Brady’s clearest path to victory. Despite the neutral matchup, Brady showed the ability to carve up the league’s best defenses, posting 19.6 points against the Jaguars. Play Brady with confidence in all formats.  

Jay Ajayi – $8,300

In two playoff games Jay Ajayi has led the Eagles’s in touches with 18 and 21. According to Football Outsider’s DVOA schedule adjusted metrics the Patriots rank 30th in run defense. Although Nick Foles performed well last week, it was his first time eclipsing 300 passing yards since 2014, despite starting 17 games. The Eagles should feature Ajayi in this game, making him a nice pivot away from Dion Lewis.  

Nelson Agholor – $7,400

Since Nick Foles took over as Philadelphia’s starter, Nelson Agholor ranks second on the team in targets. The Patriots allowed the third most yards to receivers this season and Nelson should draw the coverage of struggling slot corner, Eric Rowe. Per Pro Football Focus, Rowe ranked 15th worst out of 121 qualifiers at the corner back position. Priced below Zach Ertz and Alshon Jeffery, Agholor offers a strong salary saving option among Eagle pass-catchers.

Brandin Cooks – $9,100

As the third most expensive receiver on the slate, Brandin Cooks looks to be a value. Cooks has drawn target counts of 9 and 8 in each of the Patriots two playoff games. After battling the Jaguars loaded secondary in the Conference Championship, Cooks will draw an easier matchup against Ronald Darby and Jalen Mills. Cooks should also go low owned after Danny Amendola’s strong playoff performance, creating a leverage opportunity.

Brandon Graham – $4,100

With DraftKings’ new scoring, sacks earn players five point and interceptions account for six. With sacks occurring more frequently in NFL games overall, targeting pass rushers appears to offer a significant edge. Brandon Graham led the Eagles in sacks this season with 9.5, but is priced down at $4,100. Playing more snaps than any other Eagles’ defensive lineman, he should work his way into a good amount of tackles as well. Graham should anchor the defensive flex position this weekend.

Stephon Gilmore – $3,600

With the Patriots favored to win, the Eagles may be forced into a negative games script in this game. This could create opportunities for New England’s play making secondary. With two interceptions and nine passes defended this season, Gilmore remains an underpriced option on the slate. An interception and a couple passes defended could propel Gilmore to the top of GPPs this weekend.

FanDuel Value Plays, Picks, and Sleepers for the Super Bowl

With only two teams to work with, FanDuel’s main slate involves rosters with five offensive flex positions. Of these, one flex automatically records 2x the points scored for that player. With the quarterbacks projected to lead scoring each week, it makes sense to place either Tom Brady or Nick Foles in that position. With that said, here are some key plays for Super Bowl weekend.

Nick Foles – $13,500

With tight pricing and ownership likely to favor Brady, pivoting to Nick Foles in the FanDuel 2x slot should provide leverage in GPPs. Coming off his best performance of the season, Foles faces a New England secondary ranked 21st in pass defense according to Football Outsiders’ Pass Defense DVOA. The Patriots secondary also allowed the most passing yards to quarterbacks throughout the regular season. Fire up Foles in tournaments this weekend.

Chris Hogan – $10,000

Priced well below Danny Amendola ($12,500) and Brandin Cooks ($12,000), Chris Hogan remains the Patriots number two wide receiver. In both playoff games, Hogan out-snapped Danny Amendola 91% to 75% and 83% to 62%. In addition, Hogan will likely draw the coverage of Jalen Mills. Mills allowed a league-high nine touchdowns this season and Hogan ranked second on the Patriots in red zone targets, despite missing seven games. With recency bias and ownership favoring Amendola, Hogan provides leverage in GPPs.  

Zach Ertz – $12,000

Zach Ertz reasserted himself as the Eagles’ primary pass catcher in the Conference Championship, hauling in eight of eight targets for 93 receiving yards. Priced below teammate Alshon Jeffery ($12,500), Ertz has led the Eagles in targets under Nick Foles. Despite strong tight end defense from the Patriots, Ertz should be used in all formats as Foles’ preferred passing option.

Rob Gronkowski – $14,500

Playing Nick Foles is one way to fit in Rob Gronkowki. The leader in receiving yards among tight ends, Gronk’s only concern remains his concussion sustained in the Conference Championship. In the divisional round, Gronk recorded six catches on nine targets for 81 yards and a score. A truly matchup proof player, Gronk remains a solid building block in DFS this weekend and an interesting contrarian pairing with Ertz.

Dion Lewis – $13,000

In his last four games, Dion Lewis has handled 29, 32, 24, and 16 touches, including nine and seven catches in their last two. With Rex Burkhead playing minuscule snaps and the Patriots favored by 4.5-points, game script should be in Lewis’ favor. Despite the tough matchup, Lewis has the highest non-QB touch projection on the slate.  Lewis should be used in cash and GPPs this weekend.

Joel Embiid Leads January 31st DraftKings NBA Best Plays

It’s a lighter NBA night Wednesday with only eight games on the slate, but the bad defenses are out so it could be a high-scoring DFS affair. Cleveland’s defense is still reeling, and the Cavs are on a back to back and just lost Kevin Love. The Magic are on a back to back too and face the Lakers in Vegas’s highest over/under line of the day. And one superstar has a marquee matchup. We’re riding Joel Embiid Wednesday night and building a team around him.

C Joel Embiid PHI $10.4K vs Brooklyn

Embiid is the only player other than LeBron James that costs more than $10K on Wednesday, but he’s worth the investment playing the league’s worst defense against centers. Embiid hasn’t played since Sunday, so he’ll be rested and ready, and he’s averaging a massive 24/11/3 over his last seven games with 45.6 fpg during that stretch. He could hit 50 Wednesday night.

PG Dennis Smith Jr DAL $6.8K vs Phoenix

Smith has taken a rookie leap in January after a slow start. He’s scoring 17 points a game with six assists, three boards, and a steal and a half, and he’s coming off a career-best 10 assists against the Heat. Smith isn’t efficient yet, but that doesn’t matter in DFS. Phoenix is a dream matchup in what should be a face-paced high-scoring game.

SG/SF Brandon Ingram LAL $6.3K vs Orlando

You’ll definitely want at least one Laker against the Magic, who are playing on a back to back after an always exhausting game against the Rockets. Ingram has scored 78 fantasy points the last two games, so it’s worth riding the hot hand, especially since the already bad Magic defense may likely be missing Aaron Gordon.

SG/SF Josh Richardson MIA $6.2K vs Cleveland

Zach Lowe says Josh Richardson is the best player on the Heat, and any team’s best player on $6.2K against the league’s laziest defense is a smart play. Cleveland was bad against the Pistons last night and now plays a back-to-back against a high energy Miami team. Richardson has scored between 26 and 35 fantasy points in nine of his last ten and his secondary numbers like blocks, steals, and assists could carry the day here.

PF/C Bobby Portis CHI $5.9K vs Portland

The Bulls are missing Lauri Markkanen and may likely be without Nikola Mirotic, who is listed as questionable and could sit amidst trade talks. That means more playing time for Bobby Portis. Portis has played 25+ minutes seven times this season. He averages 19/9/2 in those games and gets to play against a Blazers team that has been pretty generous to opposing big men. He’s a huge bargain if Mirotic does sit out.

SF/PF Taurean Prince ATL $5K vs Charlotte

Prince is a wildcard, and that’s what you’re looking for on a cheap utility player to balance out an expensive pick like Joel Embiid. Six of Prince’s last 10 games have been terrible fantasy games of under 12 points, but he’s also had three with 28+ in that stretch. Prince just scored 21 against Charlotte on Friday, and the Hornets are worst in the league against forwards so another big game could be in store……

PF/C Dirk Nowitzki DAL $4.7K vs Phoenix

Old man Dirk is still getting the job done, with an efficient 17 points and eight rebounds per 36 minutes, and he’s shooting and making more threes than ever. The Suns don’t have any big men fit to chase Dirk around the perimeter, so maybe we’ll get a throwback game and a heap of German points.

PG/SG Shabazz Napier POR $4.5K vs Chicago

Napier has broken out this year, hitting 41% of his threes and a career-best-by-far 60% of his shots at the rim. He’ll only get his usual backup minutes against the Bulls, but it’s never a bad idea to play a point guard against the terrible Bulls defense, especially while Dunn is out. Napier is a gamble, but he has big game potential for a bargain bin price.

 

All-Star Snubs Headline January 24th DraftKings NBA Best Plays

The NBA announced its All-Star reserves last night, and many deserving names were chosen, but only 24 spots means there are always five or ten potential All Stars who are snubbed. It’s practically NBA tradition at this point for those guys to show up huge their next game out, so let’s find some high-potential snubs and build our Wednesday roster around them!

SG/SF Devin Booker PHX $8.5K vs Indiana

Booker is not really an All-Star snub in the loaded West, but you can tell from his tweets that he thinks otherwise. He’s really stepped his game up in his third season and looks fully recovered from that early season injury, with a 26/4/6 line in 12 games since returning. He’ll be looking to bounce back from an ugly 2/14 shooting night against Milwaukee and should be gunning for attention in a high-scoring game.

PG/SG Lou Williams LAC $8.1K vs Boston

Sweet Lou got a lot of late All-Star momentum talk but didn’t quite make the cut, and it’s a real shame for a guy who’s been absolutely blazing of late, averaging almost 30 points and four threes a game over the last 16. He’s slowing down a bit now but gets a worn-down Boston team on a back to back after a night enjoying L.A. nightlife, so he could put up another monster point total.

PG Kemba Walker CHA $8K vs New Orleans

The Hornets are projected to have Wednesday’s highest point total by Vegas standards, and Kemba Walker may be as big of an All-Star snub as there is. He’s being brought down by poor teammate play and is probably looking to showcase some big numbers as his name runs all over the league in the Trade Machine. He’s had five 30-point games this year and has a tasty matchup against Rajon Rondo.

PG/SF Ben Simmons PHI $7.6K vs Chicago

Simmons was a rookie All-Star snub, and you can bet Joel Embiid is eager to help him prove the skeptics wrong. Simmons’s scoring has slowed down some after a torrid start but still has a 16/5/6/2/1 line over the last eight games, so he’s still filling up the box score. Chicago is worst in the league defending point guards, so Simmons is a major Wednesday bargain.

PG/SG Zach LaVine CHI $5.3K vs Philadelphia

LaVine is still working his way back from a torn ACL. He’s not exactly a dunk contest “snub” with his injury, but he’s technically still the two-time defending dunk champion and you can bet he’d like to show everyone he’s still got game. LaVine played 24 minutes in his most recent game against the Pelicans, responding with a season-high 19 points. He’s effectively playing bench minutes right now but is scoring in bunches.

C Alex Len PHX $4.5K vs Indiana

Listen, the bottom part of our lineup is not going to excite anyone very much, but that’s the price you pay when you stack the top. We’re just looking for solid production now and we need a big man, and Len fits the bill. He’s quietly had a very solid season and has seen an uptick in minutes of late, averaging a steady 8/8/2 line over the past four games with 22.3 fantasy points per game. That includes a 12/10/3 line against these Pacers ten days ago, and with Myles Turner likely out again, Len should keep on producing.

SG/SF Tyrone Wallace LAC $4.4K vs Boston

The Clippers continue to stay in the playoff hunt despite playing a roster full of no-name guys, and Wallace is the latest to fill in admirably. The 23-year-old rookie was signed earlier this month and has found himself a place in the starting lineup, averaging 12/4/2 with a steal and a block in 32 minutes per game. Two years ago he was the last pick in the NBA draft, and now he’s starting on a playoff team and averaging a healthy 23 fantasy points per game. What a world!

SF/PF Darius Miller NOP $3.5K vs Charlotte

Miller rounds out our lineup as one of today’s bargain plays. The Pelicans play in today’s highest Vegas over/under line, so this is just getting a piece of that action for a guy with double digit points in three straight. He’s played 34 minutes a game in that stretch with a tidy 13/6 line and could find himself putting up numbers again Wednesday against a Hornets team that is the worst in the league defending forwards.

 

FanDuel Value Plays, Picks, and Sleepers for the Championship Round

With Conference Championship weekend here, FanDuel unveiled its final two-game slate. With tight pricing and a reduced player pool, situational players become intriguing options on short slates. One way to differentiate lineups is to roster a few of these players at low ownership and hope they outperform expectation.

Case Keenum (@ Philadelphia) – $8,000

Heading toward an underwhelming performance, Case Keenum salvaged his fantasy day with a last second 61-yard touchdown to Stefon Diggs. Averaging 16.33 points per game this season, Keenum has been a safe cash option throughout the year. Philly has been up and down against quarterbacks this season, recently allowing Eli Manning to throw for 434 yards. Keenum makes a nice pivot of Brady in GPPs.

Dion Lewis (v Jacksonville) – $7,700

In his last three games, Dion Lewis has handled 29, 32, and 24 touches, including nine catches on ten targets in their last win. Even with Rex Burkhead likely to return for the Championship Round, Lewis figures to handle a bulk of the load. Jacksonville has under-performed against running backs recently allowing Le’Veon Bell, LeSean McCoy, and Derrick Henry to total 155, 119, and 117 respectively. With New England favored by nine points, Lewis should anchor cash game lineups.

Latavius Murray (@ Philadelphia) – $6,900

In Minnesota’s first playoff game, Latavius Murray continued to lead the Minnesota backfield with 21 touches. Additionally, Murray out-touched Jerick McKinnon 64-36 during the Vikings last three regular season games. Despite a tough matchup against the Eagles, Murray has bankable volume, seeing at least 20 touches in four straight games. He should be trusted in cash and GPPs this weekend.

Nelson Agholor (v Minnesota) – $6,200

Despite a $1,100 pricing gap, Nelson Agholor has out-targeted Alshon Jeffery 19-17 in three full games with Nick Foles under center. Playing in the slot 58.2% of the time, Agholor should avoid the stout coverage of perimeter corner, Xavier Rhodes. With a tough matchup on paper, Agholor could go overlooked as Foles’ go to receiver in GPPs this week.  

Stefon Diggs (@ Philadelphia) – $6,700

Last week’s hero, Stefon Diggs remains under priced at $6,700. Last week, Diggs led the Vikings in yards (137), targets (10), and receptions (9). This week, he will take on an Eagles’ secondary allowing the second most points to wide receivers in their last four games regular season games. Additionally, they allowed nine catches for 101 yards to Julio Jones last week. Diggs should work his way into cash and GPP lineups this week.  

Chris Hogan (v Jacksonville) – $6,100

Returning from a multi-week shoulder injury, Chris Hogan played 83% of the Patriots snaps and ran 48 routes. Each of these ranked second within the Patriots wide receiver corps only to Brandin Cooks. For comparison, Danny Amendola played 62% of snaps and ran 41 routes, but carries a $6,400 price tag. However, Amendola outperformed Hogan securing 11 of 13 targets for 112 yards, while Hogan turned four targets into one catch for four yards. In GPPs, pivoting to Hogan against the league’s best secondary should provide leverage against the field.  

Rob Gronkowski (v Jacksonville) – $8,400

In the Patriots’ victory last weekend, Rob Gronkowski caught six of nine targets for 81 yards and a score. Gronk led tight ends in receiving yards this season and remains match up proof. The Jaguars finished 20th in tight end defense, per Football Outsider’s schedule adjusted metrics. Gronk remains a lock in all forms of DFS this weekend.