DraftKings Main Slate Review For Week 12 – Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta

Here is a review of the Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta matchup, which is part of the main NFL Sunday slate for DraftKings for week 12.

The number in parenthesis is the implied point total from the current Vegas odds:

Tampa Bay (19) @ Atlanta (29)

Tampa Bay

Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5,500) – Pass

Mike Evans ($7,400) – Mike Evans’ upside is limited, although he did get 10 targets that week in his return from suspension.

👍 DeSean Jackson ($4,900) – DeSean Jackson could be a possible tournament play at $4.9k.

Adam Humphries ($3,100) – Don’t be tempted by Humphries’s low salary. He’s a bad play.

👍 O.J. Howard ($2,600)– On the tight-end side, O.J. Howard is no sure thing to catch a touchdown again, but his salary is still low at $2.6.

Cameron Brate ($3,400) – Cameron Brate only has 3 catches in the past 3 weeks, so he’s a hard pass. Doug Martin does not seem to be hitting his potential, and while he has averaged 20 rushes in each of the last two games, his upside is limited.

Atlanta

Matt Ryan ($6,400) – This is a possible smash spot for Matt Ryan, who has 2 touchdowns in all three of his last games

Julio Jones ($7,700) – He’s been disappointing all year. However, this is a dream matchup though for the Atlanta passing game. He’s still not cheap, but this is probably as cheap as he’s going to get.

Devonta Freeman ($5,700) – Listed as OUT.

👍 Tevin Coleman ($6,500) – Should get more work as Freeman is out due to a concussion. Also, the Tampa Bay defense has allowed 24.10 fantasy points to opposing running backs this year.

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DraftKings NFL Week 12: Overvalued running backs

There’s a dire shortage of solid running backs this week due to the smaller slate.

You can expect to see a lot of people paying up for Gurley/McCoy/Ingram, and for good reason. The remaining scraps are likely to be hit or miss.

Here are three running backs you should avoid on DraftKings in week 12:

Christian McCaffrey @ NYJ ($6,900)

Christian McCaffrey would be a fine play in cash games this week if his salary was about $6,300. He’s a talented player that is an important part of the Panther’s offense. However, his upside is limited due to not actually being involved much in the run game. He only had 5 rushing attempts last week, and luckily one went for a touchdown. He’s Alvin Kamara-lite, but still just a bit overpriced at this salary.

Adrian Peterson vs JAC ($5,000)

What is there to say? Is it worth $5k to pay for 18 carries and 36 yards from Adrian Peterson? The Cardinals will likely struggle to move the ball against Jacksonville, and the Vegas implied point total of 16 points doesn’t bode well for AP’s chances of getting in the end zone. His rushing yards per carry for the last two games were an abysmal 1.86 and 1.38. While he has had one big game this year, it came on 37 carries and 2 receptions. That type of performance is unlikely this weekend.

Jordan Howard @ PHI ($6,000)

Jordan Howard had only had 15 attempts last week. He’s a risky, touchdown dependent player that didn’t have any targets or catches last week. Chicago’s projected total against the Eagles is a measly 15 points. If the Bears fall behind early, as they are expected to, then Howard could be out of the game plan very early on. Don’t roster Howard or any of the Bears this week.

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DraftKings NFL Week 12: Quarterback value bust rankings

Week 12 is an interesting slate for NFL games due to the Thanksgiving triple-header. Although the bye weeks are now over, taking 3 solid fantasy-relevant games out of the main DK slate will create challenges making lineups this week.

In this piece, we’ll review three quarterbacks that are overpriced on DraftKings and unlikely to hit value.

Drew Brees @ LAR ($6,900)

Although he came to life last week, Drew Brees is still not the reliable fantasy producer that he once was. There’s nothing wrong with his talent, but the offense isn’t looking to him first this season. This could be another heavy running week of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. His floor is too low to pay up to $6.9k in salary. On top of all that, the Rams are the 4th-stingiest defense when it comes to points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. Don’t have too much exposure to Brees this week.

Tyrod Taylor @ KC ($5,800)

Tyrod Taylor was actually benched in favor of Nathan Peterman. Think about that for a second. The Nathan Peterman that had a better passer rating TO THE OTHER TEAM than to his own team.

With the Bills on the road against the Chiefs, and a Vegas implied team total of only 18.25 points, he’s a solid pass. I’d prefer both Andy Dalton at $6k or Derek Carr at $5.6k instead.

Ryan Fitzpatrick @ ATL ($5,500)

Ryan Fitzpatrick doesn’t have the magic anymore. While he did throw for two touchdowns last week, that was against the struggling Miami defense. Don’t exVegas implied team total of only 19.25. Unreliable. Expect him to struggle this week on the road against a hungry Falcons defense.

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